l love this kind of talk. I think I'll be a meteorologist in my next life.
"Alright, let's talk some weather stuff. All winter storm watches have been upgraded to winter storm warnings, the exceptions would be Greene and Delaware Counties where winter weather advisories are in effect given these counties are on the NW fringe of the storm. NWS warnings/forecast are generally calling for 6-12" across the entire region with the heaviest snowfall from about Central Ulster and Dutchess and points south. Our forecast can be found on our website and in our previous posts, we will have our final snowfall map out this morning, but only minor tweaks are needed.
As has been stated, the wildcards with the system have not changed, we won't really know how some of these features play out till they are in fact playing out, we call this now casting. The biggest of these wild cards in the final track, this will determine where what we call mesoscale banding sets up. This storm system has tremendous lift with it, and whenever you lift the atmosphere you enhance the precipitation. Where these bands set up, we could see snowfall rates of 2"+ per hour and even thunder-snow, this will be the areas that may see localized amounts that exceed 12". Right now we feel that area will be somewhere in the Ulster/Dutchess to Orange/Putnam Corridor, but the final track will dictate that. If the storm is further SE then the banding sets up over westchester and Rockland or even NY Metro, further NW track gives us the spot we currently believe.
No matter the detail, the period from 3am through Thursday morning will be hazardous with not only heavy snow, but also gusty winds with near 1/4 mile or less visibility, any travel will not be recommended Thursday morning. Storm is a quick mover, 8-12 hours of snow and it's pulling away, but with heavy snowfall rates it doesn't take much time to achieve forecasted amounts. Between this morning post and Bill late night post, it about covers all that's needed to be known at this point, I will be doing some storm updates at 7am with all of our local iHeart radio stations so please tune it! Be back in a few."
Please don't move southeast! *fingers crossed*
"Alright, let's talk some weather stuff. All winter storm watches have been upgraded to winter storm warnings, the exceptions would be Greene and Delaware Counties where winter weather advisories are in effect given these counties are on the NW fringe of the storm. NWS warnings/forecast are generally calling for 6-12" across the entire region with the heaviest snowfall from about Central Ulster and Dutchess and points south. Our forecast can be found on our website and in our previous posts, we will have our final snowfall map out this morning, but only minor tweaks are needed.
As has been stated, the wildcards with the system have not changed, we won't really know how some of these features play out till they are in fact playing out, we call this now casting. The biggest of these wild cards in the final track, this will determine where what we call mesoscale banding sets up. This storm system has tremendous lift with it, and whenever you lift the atmosphere you enhance the precipitation. Where these bands set up, we could see snowfall rates of 2"+ per hour and even thunder-snow, this will be the areas that may see localized amounts that exceed 12". Right now we feel that area will be somewhere in the Ulster/Dutchess to Orange/Putnam Corridor, but the final track will dictate that. If the storm is further SE then the banding sets up over westchester and Rockland or even NY Metro, further NW track gives us the spot we currently believe.
No matter the detail, the period from 3am through Thursday morning will be hazardous with not only heavy snow, but also gusty winds with near 1/4 mile or less visibility, any travel will not be recommended Thursday morning. Storm is a quick mover, 8-12 hours of snow and it's pulling away, but with heavy snowfall rates it doesn't take much time to achieve forecasted amounts. Between this morning post and Bill late night post, it about covers all that's needed to be known at this point, I will be doing some storm updates at 7am with all of our local iHeart radio stations so please tune it! Be back in a few."
Please don't move southeast! *fingers crossed*
