News 2016 U.S. Presidential election - the highs and lows

I didn't forget.

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I voted. I honestly thought I had two great candidates from which to choose, so I was a little conflicted. I went with my heart rather than my head this time.
 
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wouldn't it be better to have a president that was a representative of who ever is in power in the houses...what is the point in having a president with little power?
 
Poppy said:
I voted. I honestly thought I had two great candidates from which to choose, so I was a little conflicted. I went with my heart rather than my head this time.
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I'm 100% with you on that... I feel very conflicted about it too.
 
Hillary Clinton is winning red states while Bernie Sanders is winning blue states and swing states. The former Secretary of State has 459 delegates to the democratic socialist's 352. Super delegates don't actually vote until the Democratic National Convention and can transfer their support to either candidate.

Bernie Sanders is still in this.
 
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Spang said:
Hillary Clinton is winning red states while Bernie Sanders is winning blue states and swing states. The former Secretary of State has 459 delegates to the democratic socialist's 352. Super delegates don't actually vote until the Democratic National Convention and can transfer their support to either candidate.

Bernie Sanders is still in this.
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He is definitely still in it. After the 15th of March, Sanders will start closing the gap, and make steady gains until the middle of May, when he will take the lead, in terms of delegates earned. A month ago, Hillary had a 15% favorable rating over Bernie in national polls. In the last 30-days, that advantage has fallen to 5%. In all likelihood, Sen. Sanders will be the favored candidate, going into the convention.
 
According to the bookmakers, it is, today, about 95% chance for Hilary, 5% for Bernie.
And Trump has about an 85% chance of securing the Republican nomination. That is a lot higher than when I checked a few weeks ago.
 
I think that Trump getting the nomination may depend on Rubio staying in the race till the end. If Rubio is determined to stay in this race then Trump will definitely get the nomination. However if Rubio does drops out of the race shortly before very many more primaries it would be a real close one between Trump and Cruz. Terrifying...
 
Jamie in Chile said:
According to the bookmakers, it is, today, about 95% chance for Hilary, 5% for Bernie.
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I think the bookmakers are on Hillary's payroll. National polls conducted over the last 9-months have consistently indicated Sanders has the best chance of defeating the GOP, no matter who they nominate, but especially if they nominate Donald Trump. Trump has a fair chance at beating Clinton. Assuming Hillary and Bernie go into the convention tied, which again, according to polls, analysis of voting trends by state and historical precedence, may be, it will be up to the superdelegates to decide. If they're smart, and want to win, they'll go with Sanders, as they did with Obama in '08.
 
Capstan said:
I think the bookmakers are on Hillary's payroll. National polls conducted over the last 9-months have consistently indicated Sanders has the best chance of defeating the GOP, no matter who they nominate, but especially if they nominate Donald Trump. Trump has a fair chance at beating Clinton. Assuming Hillary and Bernie go into the convention tied, which again, according to polls, analysis of voting trends by state and historical precedence, may be, it will be up to the superdelegates to decide. If they're smart, and want to win, they'll go with Sanders, as they did with Obama in '08.
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There's a BIG difference between Sanders and Obama. They both appeal(ed) to young voters, but it is Clinton, not Sanders, who is getting the African American (and Latino) vote out. Those are key constituencies for the Democrats. Clinton is especially good at not only getting the female African American vote, but at getting them excited about her candidacy.
 
Mischief said:
There's a BIG difference between Sanders and Obama. They both appeal(ed) to young voters, but it is Clinton, not Sanders, who is getting the African American (and Latino) vote out. Those are key constituencies for the Democrats. Clinton is especially good at not only getting the female African American vote, but at getting them excited about her candidacy.
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As I understand it, Sanders just took Colorado, which has a large Latino constituency. We shall see.
 
Capstan said:
National polls conducted over the last 9-months have consistently indicated Sanders has the best chance of defeating the GOP, no matter who they nominate, but especially if they nominate Donald Trump.
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Currently, the polls suggest Clinton wins only against Trump. On the other hand, Sanders wins against all the Republicans. As such, it would make sense for the Dems to elect Sanders, and for the Republicans to elect Kasich (who is the Republican who performs best against Clinton and Sanders.)

However, that's not how the process works - the voters don't think like that ...
 
Indian Summer said:
Currently, the polls suggest Clinton wins only against Trump. On the other hand, Sanders wins against all the Republicans. As such, it would make sense for the Dems to elect Sanders, and for the Republicans to elect Kasich (who is the Republican who performs best against Clinton and Sanders.)

However, that's not how the process works - the voters don't think like that ...
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Ultimately, the voters don't decide who's nominated. The delegates do, and the superdelegates are free to make their own choices, so who can win may be the deciding factor.
 
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Capstan said:
He is definitely still in it. After the 15th of March, Sanders will start closing the gap, and make steady gains until the middle of May, when he will take the lead, in terms of delegates earned. A month ago, Hillary had a 15% favorable rating over Bernie in national polls. In the last 30-days, that advantage has fallen to 5%. In all likelihood, Sen. Sanders will be the favored candidate, going into the convention.
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But the Super Delegates will go Clinton all the way, I'm afraid. And they have a lot of power.
 
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ledboots said:
But the Super Delegates will go Clinton all the way, I'm afraid. And they have a lot of power.
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This is what they were portraying, this morning, on the news. [emoji45]
 
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