UK Brexit aftermath/repercussions

The Times (which is behind a paywall) is apparently reporting that the EU negotiator is about to come to an agreement with May on the Irish border issue. They're apparently going for some kind of electronic solution, but not sure about the details.
 
As we now know, there was no agreement on the Irish border issue.

Martin Kettle, Guardian associate editor and columnist, is reporting from the Labour conference in Liverpool that, incredibly, Corbyn could end up being the one to 'save the country':

Is Labour now capable of solving the European question? That is a stretch. In Liverpool, though, it felt as if a future Labour pitch to combine a £350m pledge to the NHS with a pledge to stay in the EU – not to leave it – is now an almost imaginable combination. It is a strange thought, but it may have fallen to Corbyn to save the country.
More: Could Corbyn solve Brexit and save Britain? I can almost imagine it now | Martin Kettle (27. Sept. 2018)
 
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The people's vote has been cast and as a democratic society we have to accept and get on with the result.

No. I think a lot of Brexit supporters are now coming to the realisation that the kind of Brexit deal they had envisioned is impossible, and that the kind of deal that is actually being negotiated now is going to be very bad for the country.

Just like the majority in Parliament can be wrong, so can the majority in a referendum. When someone is wrong, and they later realise their mistake, they will naturally want to reverse their previous decision. It's the only sensible thing to do.

I think the Brexit deal being negotiated will not be accepted by Parliament. The Labour MPs will vote against it. The 'Brexiteer' Conservatives will vote against it. And so will probably some of the more moderate Conservatives as well, like Jo Johnson who just resigned from the Cabinet this evening exactly over the issue of Brexit. Then what happens? I don't know, but Theresa May would probably resign, there would be a general election where the parties made clear their positions on Brexit, for a hard Brexit or against Brexit altogether, before the actual election, so in a sense it would be a referendum in the form of a general election. The Conservative Party would probably break up, maybe also the Labour party, and new parties would be formed.
 
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Theresa May will argue that it's either her Brexit deal or a no-deal Brexit. I think however that the EU will want to avoid Brexit if at all possible, so they will probably be happy to shred their copy of the Article 50 documents if the UK changes its mind even in the last minute.
 
I'm reading that so far a total of six cabinet members have resigned over Brexit, three were Leavers and three were Remainers. Apparently, three more are rumored to be seriously considering resigning.
 
Well, well, well. There is finally a draft Brexit agreement. I hear it's a 500 page document. Like I said before, I don't think it'll make it through Parliament. I did hear one commentator who thought the prime minister might be able to get it through Parliament with minor modifications by use of clever psychology. I doubt it, but we shall see.

We certainly live in exciting times.
 
I think the public voted, and it should be accepted. That seems fair and right.

If they have a second vote and stay in the EU, about half the country will not trust any politicians for the next 50 years, and far right parties and media will run riot breeding discontent.

A better argument I think is to say that the Brexit should be a soft rather than hard one.
 
The headlines this morning say that Dominic Raab, the Brexit secretary, and three others (McVey, Vara, Braverman) have all just resigned from the cabinet. There are widespread claims that backbenchers are preparing to topple the prime minister.

If they have a second vote and stay in the EU, about half the country will not trust any politicians for the next 50 years, and far right parties and media will run riot breeding discontent.
That is a very distinct possibility. However, I hope that if the political process (or circus, if you will,) can just play out, it will be made clear to everyone that the kind of Brexit that the majority voted for is not really possible. And by the end of it all, people will be so sick of Brexit that they'll just be glad it's dead and buried, and they'll be ready to move on to more interesting news.
 
"The country faces a stark set of choices: this deal, no deal or no Brexit at all."

Quote from
Explained: A deal that takes back control

If the link doesn't work, try this one

Explained: A deal that takes back control

That seems to be saying that the country has a choice of no Brexit, and it's from the Conservatives. That does not seem to agree with their previous statements.

The Lib Dems have been banging on about a people's vote for ages, and it's starting to gain some traction.

However it feels to me that the chance of no Brexit has gone up from 10% some months ago to still only 30%.

Just checked some bookmaker odds to see if they agree with that guess and they think there is a 30% chance of a second referendum, which suggests a less than 30% chance of no Brexit. Brexit 2nd eu referendum Betting Odds | Politics

You can also bet on whether UK will exit by the agreed end of March date, and the odds that it won't are close to 50%. So that implies some significant possibility that the exit will happen but be delayed.
 
The days are numbered for Theresa May ...! There will likely be a vote of no confidence soon!

Emerging reports suggest Tories submit 48 letters for vote of no confidence in Theresa May
That turned out to be somewhat exaggerated! Looks like the rebellion has been crushed for now.

I continue to be a little bit amazed at May's ability to keep going despite the election disaster, the split between the two blocks in her party, the impossible task of negotiating a Brexit deal that will satisfy a majority of MPs and keep Northern Ireland a part of the Union ...
 
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